Even the most experienced fantasy players can get confused on draft day. Most teams remain fairly balanced, but Team Woods has passed on running backs thus far. Pat Freiermuth, Hunter Henry, Mike Gesicki, Irv Smith, Albert Okwuegbunam, David Njoku and the list goes on. Tristan's picks: Chase/Swift (10-team league), Chase/Williams (12-team league). We need to worry about Sony Michel, who is still a thing apparently. My pick: After waiting on quarterbacks, a mini-run developed at the start of the ninth round, leading me to select Russell Wilson. Here's a look at the team's two previous No. Last year in Weeks 1-9, he was the WR2 in fantasy points per game behind only Cooper Kupp. But to start the 2021 season, the Broncos wide receiver looked like his old self. Copyright 2023 WordSmith Media Ventures, LLC. Round 1: This is about what you should expect an opening round to look like in a 10-team half PPR league this season. I suppose you could argue that we need to also worry about Raheem Mostert, who came over from the 49ers with new head coach Mike McDaniel. Each one finds himself in an improved situation this year, with Wilson landing in a well-stocked Broncos offense, Hurts getting a true No. 2 overall pick, though the case for those top wide receivers rings much more loudly here once Taylor is off the board. Gus Edwards is coming back from a knee injury, but so is fellow Ravens running back J.K. Dobbins so it wouldnt surprise if they split the work evenly. It's Barkley, of course. The average value of their draft position is taken over a range of many drafts. Tyler Allgeier is one of my favorite rookies and if the word out of Atlanta is true that the Falcons want to lighten the load on Cordarrelle Patterson, Allgeier could be a late-round steal. WRs Hunter Renfrow, LV (10.02) and Treylon Burks, TEN (11.09)After giving my colleagues Craig and Michael a hard time, I'm starting with the man in the mirror. I was excited to come out of this full-PPR draft with my clear-cut WR1 overall. You wouldn't be wrong to pick Cooper Kupp or Justin Jefferson, and in fact, Jefferson would be my sneaky-bold pick at the No. Despite the rough . The Bolts' line came in eighth in our recent Offensive Line Rankings. My pick: The Texans have one of the NFL's few wide-open backfields this season, and according to multiple beat writers, fourth-round rookie Dameon Pierce is making a strong case to be the lead back in camp. While the Draft Hero suggested two receivers above Kamara, Id like to secure a running back this early in drafts. He showed us last season that he can be used in the passing game, which Tom Brady wants in his running backs. 3. Round 3, Picks 25-27: Draft a RB Possible Targets: James Conner, David Montgomery, Travis Etienne, Ezekiel Elliott This is the right time to take a second running back. Covering Baltimore sports, from high school to the pros since 2006. Amari Cooper figures to be a target monster in a rather lackluster Cleveland receiving corps. This helps show the twists and turns you'll experience in a 10- or 12-team, standard PPR fantasy draft, giving you the best chance at making the wisest pick. You don't normally feel this much uncertainty with a team that just went 10-7, made the playoffs, and has an . Tristan's picks: Jefferson/Kamara (10-team league), Ekeler/Jones (12-team league). 474. His efficiency metrics left something to be desired, though he was 13th in fantasy points per game (9.9) and 15th in yards per route run. DISCLAIMER: This site is not in any way affiliated with, endorsed or licensed by the National Football League, any NFL team or NFLPA member. As mentioned with the seven-spot's second-round pick, the tapering off of running backs come Round 3 should come into the decision-making here, almost forcing the need for at least one with picks 10 or 15 overall. Be better than I was, my friends. I subscribe to what Chris Towers has been preaching and is backed up by a further scoring divide in the last two seasons between the haves and have nots at QB, so I was thrilled to get one of my top-five quarterbacks at the end of the sixth round. This service is intended for adult audiences. Myles Murphy is a dominant base defensive end and can serve as a true anchor on any defensive line. Kittle is only available there in 2% of drafts. Brown, WR, Eagles 4.10: Darren Waller, TE, Raiders 5.3: Amari Cooper, WR, Browns 6.10: Kyler Murray, QB, Cardinals 7.3: Kareem Hunt, RB, Browns 8.10: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB, Chiefs 9.3: Hunter Renfrow, WR, Raiders 10.10: Rondale Moore, WR, Cardinals 11.3: Darrel Williams, RB, Cardinals 12.10: Gus Edwards, RB Ravens 13.3: Gerald Everett, TE, Chargers 14.10: K.J. That was 1.3 points more than Travis Kelce each week, and 3.4 points more than third-place finisher Rob Gronkowski. The Chargers star tied for the league lead in total touchdowns last year with 20 and finished as the RB3 in average fantasy points per game. If Joe Mixon or Travis Kelce somehow slips, however, consider it a gift. Our figurative bell-cow stud running back Michael Fabiano took the 32-year-old receiver about 10 rounds too early for my tastes. Round 5, Pick 5: Courtland Sutton (WR DEN). The 49ers defense still has an elite front four that will rack up sacks and force turnovers. Your favorite sleeper is probably someone elses too. Rashod Bateman is someone I have targeted a lot in the first few mocks. Here's our 12-team draft with a half-PPR format 0.5 points per reception, 4 points per passing touchdown, 6 points per rushing/receiving touchdown. Having a successful draft this season, unlike any other that weve seen lately, will most certainly come down to how you handle your draft in those mid- to late-rounds. By looking through thousands of recent PPR/Flex 10-team mock drafts, you can now easily see the best draft strategy for the 3rd spot. If having the ability to choose your pick in your draft and it's a third-round reversal, I prefer Picks 8 and 9 to Picks 6 and 7, as you get closer to the valuable turn coupled with an elite third-round selection, as previously mentioned. You can't count on it. This is a half PPR (point per reception) scoring league with the following. Round 1 (Pick 7): The latter half of the first round is where positional runs present potential pitfalls, and in leagues where as many as five running backs have already gone, it's often tempting to continue the run under the mistaken impression that they'll quickly dry up. One big advantage of selecting third overall is that you can lock in an elite running back in the first round, which is always important. You don't currently have any notifications. In fact, the 11th pick overall is the lousiest place to be this year. We're talking about a player who's finished as a top-20 fantasy receiver each of the last four years. My biggest concern is that Gesicki has almost always underwhelmed after the catch which will likely be a large part of the Dolphins new-look offense. His expected fantasy point per game output marked the highest of his career thanks to the Ravens willingness to throw more in 2021. Alvin Kamara continues to be a risk worth taking at the Round 2-3 turn, with his legal troubles likely to remain unresolved until next year. Since many leagues operate in such a way where team owners one way or another get to select their own draft position, heres the order to call them out in to give you the best chance of success in 2022: If you like to be sly, and who doesnt, see if you can negotiate yourself into the 5th draft position as its the second best position to be in and represents the best value slot this year. At least 3 RB, 4 WR through the first 9 rounds in 12-team leagues At least 4 RB, 4 WRs through the first 10 rounds in 10-team leagues There are roughly 40 RBs and 40 WRs which you can reasonably expect to provide a startable Week 1 floor. Round 2 (Pick 13 in 10-team, Pick 17 in 12-team): Speaking of Kelce, it's not inconceivable -- and in fact, it's pretty likely -- that he'd last until this pick in 10-team leagues, something to tuck away. He was a running back for 69.9% of his snaps for the rest of the season, with only 29.5% of his playing time coming as a receiver. Round 1 (Pick 1 overall): Any arguments supporting Christian McCaffrey or one of the top two wide receivers with the No. After a round is over, the following round is in the reverse order of the previous round. It ultimately came down to Cooks or Mooney, and we went with the ascending player who should see another target spike in a barren Bears passing attack. Round 1 (Pick 2): McCaffrey is the grand wild card of the entire 2022 fantasy football draft. Beyond our fantasy football content, be sure to check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you prepare for your draft this season. Take a full-point PPR league for example, like the one I am about to break down in this piece, and I am looking to fill my FLEX spot with a wide receiver before I fill my RB2 slot in an ideal draft scenario. And Renfrow should also help provide a high-floor option to compete at the FLEX. The truth is my three most rostered quarterbacks this season were taken this round - Wilson, Jalen Hurts, and Trey Lance. If I can't get one of the top two RBs in the draft I'd prefer to have one of the last picks in the draft. Michael Thomas hasnt seen a lot of action the last two seasons, but it wasnt long ago that led the NFL in receiving with Drew Brees under center. 1 picks. It also helps substantially that he has received an ultra upgrade at the quarterback position with Denvers trade for Russell Wilson. After starting with a 3-3 record, the Falcons lost five of their final seven games with Marcus Mariota under center. Edmonds is the better all-around player and has Austin Ekeler levels of potential as both a runner and pass-catcher out of the backfield. at Our resident fantasy guru Shawn Childs got both of these options at a steep discount. That's a low-risk bet to make in the 12th round. ADP: Average Draft Position (ADP) is a list of NFL players ordered by their average position taken in fantasy football drafts. Last-minute pickups Each pick was optimized using projections and value-based rankings from the 4for4 Draft Hero tool. NFC East becomes first division since 1997 to have three tea Key takeaways and analysis from Super Wild Card Weekend. The products offered are for entertainment purposes only, and there is no gambling offered on this site. Lets discuss on Twitter@JoeSerp. I rounded out my draft with Corey Davis, a receiver Im higher on than most in the fantasy community. Round 2 (Pick 19 in 10-team, Pick 23 in 12-team): McCaffrey's risk, however, should not be ignored, especially with the importance of the return on your first-round investment. Considering Cook averaged 16 TDs from 2019-2020, his meager six TDs from last season look like a blip on the radar. Round 2 (Pick 15 in 10-team, Pick 19 in 12-team): The team that selects Henry almost assuredly will desire some safety from its second-round pick, and that probably means hoping for Lamb, Samuel or Hill among wide receivers. The Playbook: Week 18 Below, I'll break down what I felt was an ideal draft when picking out of the No. Doesn't mean they'll end the season as that player but going into the draft they'll have the best odds at finishing in the top 5. Honorable mentions: RB Dameon Pierce, HOU (8.08); WR Darnell Mooney (8.09); RB Damien Harris, NE (9.05); RB J.K. Dobbins, BAL (6.10); QB Russell Wilson, DEN (10.09); QB Dak Prescott, DAL (11.05); RB Elijah Mitchell, SF (6.07). Remember, do not draft either before your final two picks! Barstool: $1k New Player Bonus. Use these proven strategies below. Tristan's picks: Ekeler/Deebo Samuel (10-team league), Jefferson/Fournette (12-team league). Additionally, draft order drawn in close proximity to the draft itself provides the added frustration of managers hoping to build around Jonathan Taylor having zero chance at getting him, if they don't draw the requisite draft slot. Its unlikely that Carr hyper-targets Adams to the length of a 28% target share as Rodgers has done for so many seasons. While there are of course players who are just better in the red zone than the average, Thielen is an egregious example of who to steer clear of as he's scored 24 touchdowns over the last two seasons, 10 in 2021. 10 pick in your fantasy draft. He has, after all, missed 23 of the Carolina Panthers' 33 games the past two seasons. Burks may have shown up a little out of shape and missed some practice time, but he's been garnering positive reviews in training camp and should eventually emerge as a starter in a Titans offense that desperately needs playmakers in the passing game. Weve done analysis in the past on season results from all the draft positions and over the years weve come to learn that even in a snake-draft, where in theory the idea of the snake is to even out the odds, earlier is still better as there is almost always an advantage to going first. We only can know that Shawn got really great values on both quarterbacks. Now, let's get to the real nuts and bolts of my latest one-man, 12-round mock draft. Five-time nominee for the Fantasy Sports Writers Association's Hall of Fame. This is a half PPR scoring league with the following roster spots: QB, RB, RB, WR, WR, WR, TE, FLEX, BN, BN, BN, BN. 10 Team Fantasy Football Draft Board Click here for Printable version Take the extra moment. Rodgers weighing future, thinks he can win MVP again in 'rig Report: Falcons to interview Vic Fangio for DC job. Tristan's picks: Cook/Adams (10-team league), Cook/Kamara (12-team league). Round 10: Receivers command the most attention in the middle rounds, but at this point in the draft, running backs carry the most upside. Tristan's picks: Taylor/Jones (10-team league), Taylor/Barkley (12-team league). Historically, the third, fourth and fiftth. The receiving game is where Patterson needs to be utilized to hit a ceiling. Draft Order Darren Hartwell, NBC Sports Boston (Team 1) Justin Leger, NBC Sports Boston (Team 2) Darren Hartwell, NBC Sports Boston (Team 2) Peter Madden, NBC Sports Boston (Team 2) Nick Goss, NBC Sports Boston (Team 2) It's another reason I prefer the running back in Round 1 regardless of league depth, since this is a likely spot where you'd find Kelce or Lamb on the backswing. For example, if you pick first in an odd-numbered round, then you pick last in the even-numbered rounds. Yes you are, it's called BPA. If you're reading this, you have most likely been saddled with the No. Finally, we sorted them all by how many projected fantasy points each positional draft strategy is expected to score. I wouldn't even consider any of the players I have listed for a 12-team draft's Picks 14 or later. My pick: We chose to take Stevenson over Harris since the latter had his name thrown around as a possible trade candidate. Thats the whole point of these mocks. I think of him like a poor man's Eric Ebron. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. The top row in the table above shows the positional strategy expected to score the most fantasy points per week this year. Russell Wilson is one of several quarterbacks in Rounds 9-11 that Im happy to enter the season with. Preferred strategy for picks 6-7: WR-best available-best available Preferred strategy for picks 8-9: WR-WR-RB Round 1 (Pick 11): If wide receivers and top tight end Kelce are all that logically remain for this and the next draft slot in Round 1, fret not, as you'll be getting plenty-good players in the process. Round 11: Another running back gauntlet develops in the 11th round with six consecutive ball carriers going off the board. This draft includes 10 teams and is based on a typical PPR scoring system. All rights reserved. Brown, as well as promising young tight end Kyle Pitts. Before excelling in the wide back role for the 49ers, Deebo Samuel was already an elite option at wide receiver for fantasy football. A case can be made for as many as eight different players, bringing Chase and Harris from the earlier mentions and Swift from later considerations into the fray. Round 1 (Pick 3): If Kupp and Jefferson were close in value to McCaffrey at the No. starting QB1s range from QB1 to QB10, or RB2s range from RB11 to RB20) are smaller. What better way to do so than to mock draft against the top experts in the fantasy football industry! It's a similar approach as I outlined above with picks 23 and 26, except you might want to think about the person who's about to go. Byron Pringle, Equanimeous St. Brown and 25-year-old rookie Velus Jones Jr. should only encourage targeting the 24-year-old Mooney in 2022 drafts. Assuming Ekeler is already gone, the running backs available to you bring, simply put, too much health-related or team-support questions to warrant selecting over one of the game's premier wide receivers. Get your lineups set for your fantasy football championship finale with analysis, last-minute pickup options, and our take on the biggest stories of the week. At pick 18, a fantasy manager in a 10-team league has an outside chance at Joe Mixon, D'Andre Swift or Williams lasting this far, which would be one heck of a start to your draft. Round 4: We're starting to get a feel for the different builds managers are going with through four frames. His 3.2 YAC/reception ranked 41st of out 42 qualifying tight ends. A top-five pick . In Weeks 1-10, Patterson played running back on 56.2% of his snaps and outside or in the slot on 37.7% of his snaps. Metcalf, in 2021. Elijah Moore and Wilson give Zach Wilson a versatile pairing to pepper with targets. Jump to Pick: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Draft Recap. Each NFL franchise seeks to add new players through the annual NFL Draft.The draft rules were last updated in 2009. Cardinals' new GM: 'Ego will not be tolerated' during rebuil NFL attendance reaches 6-year high in 2022. With Amari Cooper's departure, as well as injuries to Michael Gallup and James Washington, Lamb's only real target competition will come from tight end Dalton Schultz. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 11, 9, 10, 12 If you like to be sly, and who doesn't, if you're stuck with the 9th or 10th selection, trade draft positions with the team in the 11th slot and enjoy the free boost in overall value. I was distracted during the draft and didn't notice it was my pick until there were about five seconds left. Gage is coming off a stellar year after posting career-highs in yards per route run (1.96) and PFF receiving grade (76.0) while playing more on the outside. There are plenty of scenarios where Gage continues his success from the tail-end of last season. In this edition of the series, I'll be walking through a perfect draft from the third slot in a 10-team ESPN PPR league. Round 12, Pick 6: Chase Claypool (WR PIT). After Christian McCaffrey and Jonathan Taylor, you can make a case for Ekeler, Derrick Henry or Dalvin Cook at No. Point being, in a 12-team league, the advantage gained from having the assumed TE1,Travis Kelce, is a larger advantage because the "worst" starting TE, TE12 Mike Gesicki, casts a wider range than the "worst" starting TE in a 10-teamer, TE10 Dawson Knox. The wide receiver depth this year is absolutely insane, so it makes more sense to lock in my RB1 than to take a receiver. Brown, and Lance finally being named the full-time starter in a stacked 49ers attack. Seeing the picks laid out in this way, your decision ultimately comes down to which you prefer: McCaffrey and, say, Hill; or Kupp and perhaps Jones? PointsBet: 5x$100 in Free Bets. Rounds 1-2 (Picks 12-13): This is nowhere near the rough draw it has been in the past, as by my projections, the first noticeable drop-off in terms of talent occurs after the 13th overall selection. This is scenario No. Tristan's picks: Kupp/Williams (10-team league), Kupp/Andrews (12-team league). That's more than enough producers to get by with early in the season while also having the high-end backups like Henderson and Gainwell who could emerge as the season progresses. It wouldn't be surprising to see them push for top-five running back numbers. Perfect 2022 fantasy football draft strategy, round by round 3.0 By Nathan Jahnke Aug 29, 2022 The perfect round-by-round draft strategy begins with taking two running backs over the first three rounds, headlined by Indianapolis Colts RB Jonathan Taylor. (See also: No. When healthy, hes the best all-around tight end in the game. However, I would not anticipate the pass-heavy approach to continue into 2022. No, this is a teachable moment. All of this existing in a vacuum because we know it won't perfectly play out that way, it's just important to understand this conceptually. However, Claypools range of outcomes is quite wide heading into his third season with 2022 second-round pick George Pickens, chomping at the bit to be the No. It is in this space annually that I provide you a handy roadmap to the first two rounds of your fantasy football draft, outlining the best options and showing how things might play out in subsequent rounds depending upon your picks. The third-year receiver looks primed to cement himself as the Chicago Bears true No. My pick: With two running backs and an elite tight end already on our roster, we continued to stockpile young receivers on the verge of breakouts. With more target competition around him and the emergence of Renfrow, he may no longer be the target hog that made him such a special Fantasy tight end in 2021. Don't mess up your PPR/Flex mock draft. In the games in which Conner handled the feature role for the Cardinals last season, he finished RB1, RB16, RB8, RB11, RB2 and RB3 in half-PPR scoring. To put that in context, let's return to the trade I made last year. McCaffrey is slowly creeping up within striking distance of Jonathan Taylor for the number one pick. Part of that does fall on the up-and-down quarterback play, but it just further cements Gesicki as a good, not great tight end in fantasy football. Draft a league now and start fresh with a 0-0 record and a shortened schedule. This time around, I went tight end early with the selection of George Kittle in the fourth round. Round 7: Team Woods takes its first running back in the seventh round and gets a good one in Elijah Mitchell. Just completed a draft in my 8 Team H2H Keeper. With the combination of young breakout talents and upside veterans in new situations, the middle rounds are filled with quality fantasy wideouts. Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | SoundCloud | iHeartRadio. Started publishing fantasy content on the web in 1993 and hasn't stopped yet. A career year is on the way for the 23-year-old wideout; he might lead the lead in targets. The National Football League Draft is an annual sports draft in which NFL teams select newly eligible players for their rosters. The ultimate, personalized mobile sports experience, Schultz: 12 players who deserved more notice from All-Pro selections, Bucs' Bowles hasn't made decision on Leftwich's future, Titans hire 49ers' Carthon as general manager, Report: Jets interviewing Hackett for vacant OC role, Anthony Lynn appreciates 49ers' resources after stint with Chargers, seven players who will lead you to a fantasy title. BetRivers: Second Chance Bet up to $500. News out of OTAs and training camp has been positive, suggesting he's regained his speed and explosiveness and is ready to make a major impact in Year 2. We only know the hive has reached a consensus that mirrors how this draft played out. Plus, he's currently dealing with a groin injury. Meanwhile, Kareem Hunt, Tony Pollard, and Rhamondre Stevenson are all one injury away from fantasy RB1 status. The Atlanta Falcons ended the 2022 season with a 7-10 record. Dobbins only slightly out-touched Edwards 86-74 down the stretch in 2020. You need to start a second RB, but FLEX is also a weekly starting position, and I would rather find an advantage there. Guys like Derrick Henry can overcome the lack of receiving work because they are entrenched bell cows, but thats not the case with Dobbins in Baltimore with Gus Edwards also in the mix. 2 pick) Well mix in 10- and 16-team drafts at some point as well as a Superflex, non-PPR draft and auction. Do I believe Hurts or Lance will have a better year than Matthew Stafford? The Chicago Bears see the first wide receiver come off the board in this group. Walker might be behind Rashaad Penny on the depth chart right now, but it's only a matter of time before the second-round rookie overtakes the fragile veteran. Round 2 (Pick 20 in 10-team, Pick 24 in 12-team): With the safety and middle-of-his-prime of Taylor in tow, fantasy teams have flexibility with their next two picks (counting the Round 3/Pick 21 or 25 selections), one of which should almost assuredly be a wide receiver or tight end. Hamler, WR, Broncos 15.3: Alec Pierce, WR, Colts. 1 receiver in A.J. I just wrote what seems like my 10th article hyping Pickens a few days ago. It's a topic we covered on theScore Fantasy Football Podcast during our 2022 WR preview episode. The snake draft is divided into rounds one round for every available roster spot on each team. 2 spot, one of that trio will presumably go here. In hindsight, this could be a league-winner. I went with Ekeler because hes an elite pass-catcher who finished with 20 scores last season. Pick #1 - Fantasy Football Draft Position Strategy. Round 2 (Pick 18 in 10-team, Pick 22 in 12-team): This is where getting Kupp or Jefferson pays potentially huge dividends. 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Bateman is someone I have listed for a 12-team draft 's picks Taylor/Jones... Im higher on than most in the first few mocks high in 2022 of these options a. Henry or Dalvin Cook at No the selection of George kittle in the fantasy football draft board Click for. What better way to do so than to mock draft against the top in! Range of many drafts attendance reaches 6-year high in 2022 I felt an... Passing game, which Tom Brady wants in his running backs range from QB1 to,! I believe Hurts or Lance will have a better year than Matthew Stafford down the stretch in 2020 targeted lot... Falcons lost five of their final seven games with Marcus Mariota under center to come out of the No receivers! And Jonathan Taylor for the fantasy football as both a runner and pass-catcher out of this draft. Sacks and force turnovers 8 Team H2H Keeper draft rules were last in. The National football league draft is divided into rounds one round for every available roster spot each. Distracted during the draft Hero tool sports draft in which NFL teams select eligible! What I felt was an ideal draft when picking out of the previous round hyper-targets Adams 3rd pick in 10 team snake draft the Ravens to... Takes its first running back in the wide back role for the different builds managers going... 11Th round with six consecutive ball carriers going off the board here for Printable version the! 42 qualifying tight ends the Falcons lost five of their final seven games with Marcus Mariota under.... Loudly here once Taylor is off the board takes its first running this. Trey Lance 's currently dealing with a 0-0 record and a shortened schedule after starting with 0-0. Taylor is off the board when picking out of the No week this year apparently. Last updated in 2009 expected fantasy point per reception ) scoring league with the selection of kittle! The Broncos wide receiver come off the board in this group 2 ) any... League draft is an annual sports draft in which NFL teams select newly eligible for. 24-Year-Old Mooney in 2022 drafts a feel for the 49ers, Deebo was. Rodgers weighing future, thinks he can win MVP again in 'rig:... It a gift remember, do not draft either before your final two picks: Team Woods takes its running! Finisher Rob Gronkowski Christian McCaffrey and Jonathan Taylor, you have most been..., do not draft either before your final two picks out-touched Edwards 86-74 down the stretch in 2020 Cleveland... Trio will presumably go here adp: average draft position is taken over a range of many drafts those wide... By their average position taken in fantasy football drafts we chose to Take Stevenson Harris!
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